Regionalliga North Round 20

Köln II vs Hamburger SV II analysis

Köln II  Hamburger SV II
57 ELO 59
6% Tilt 18%
2903º General ELO ranking 2443º
126º Country ELO ranking 107º
ELO win probability
40.3%
Köln II
25.4%
Draw
34.3%
Hamburger SV II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
Köln II
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
34.3%
Win probability
 Hamburger SV II
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Köln II
-17%
-12%
 Hamburger SV II

ELO progression

Köln II
 Hamburger SV II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Köln II
Köln II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Dec. 2004
OSN
VfL Osnabrück
4 - 0
Köln II
DIE
56%
23%
21%
57 64 7 0
20 Nov. 2004
HOL
Holstein Kiel
2 - 1
Köln II
DIE
44%
24%
32%
57 56 1 0
13 Nov. 2004
DIE
Köln II
1 - 1
Wuppertaler SV
WUP
49%
24%
27%
57 56 1 0
07 Nov. 2004
HER
Hertha BSC II
4 - 3
Köln II
DIE
42%
24%
34%
58 57 1 -1
30 Oct. 2004
DIE
Köln II
1 - 1
KFC Uerdingen 05
KFC
45%
25%
30%
58 60 2 0

Matches

Hamburger SV II
 Hamburger SV II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Dec. 2004
HAM
 Hamburger SV II
1 - 1
Holstein Kiel
HOL
50%
25%
25%
60 56 4 0
27 Nov. 2004
HAM
 Hamburger SV II
1 - 1
Wuppertaler SV
WUP
51%
25%
25%
60 56 4 0
21 Nov. 2004
HER
Hertha BSC II
2 - 2
 Hamburger SV II
HAM
45%
25%
31%
60 58 2 0
13 Nov. 2004
HAM
 Hamburger SV II
3 - 0
KFC Uerdingen 05
KFC
45%
26%
29%
59 59 0 +1
06 Nov. 2004
WOL
Wolfsburg II
0 - 0
 Hamburger SV II
HAM
29%
25%
45%
59 47 12 0