Köln II vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
37.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
BOR
1 - 1
DIE
63%
20%
17%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
DIE
1 - 2
STR
52%
23%
25%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
VER
1 - 1
DIE
62%
22%
16%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
DIE
0 - 0
LIP
63%
20%
18%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
ROT
2 - 0
DIE
69%
19%
13%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
AAA
2 - 2
KMA
75%
16%
9%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
WUP
0 - 0
AAA
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
AAA
1 - 1
ROD
36%
24%
40%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
FOR
0 - 1
AAA
30%
25%
45%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
AAA
2 - 2
WIE
48%
24%
28%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |