Knockbreda vs Dergview FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
46.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-51%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
5º
12º
12º
33
8º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Knockbreda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
DUN
2 - 3
KNO
80%
13%
7%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
KNO
1 - 4
WAR
17%
22%
62%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
KNO
1 - 2
DUN
24%
22%
54%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
WAR
4 - 0
KNO
79%
13%
8%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 2
KNO
65%
19%
16%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Dergview FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
DER
1 - 2
BAL
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
AUN
2 - 1
DER
70%
18%
13%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
DUN
1 - 1
DER
59%
22%
20%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
DER
3 - 0
NEY
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
HAR
3 - 0
DER
50%
23%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -2 |