Irish Cup Northern Ireland Last 16

Knockbreda vs Ballinamallard United analysis

Knockbreda Ballinamallard United
41 ELO 61
21.5% Tilt 7%
6230º General ELO ranking 3480º
34º Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
12.8%
Knockbreda
17.7%
Draw
69.5%
Ballinamallard United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.9%
Win probability
Knockbreda
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
69.5%
Win probability
Ballinamallard United
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.8%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO progression

Knockbreda
Ballinamallard United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Knockbreda
Knockbreda
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Jan. 2020
LOU
Loughgall
4 - 0
Knockbreda
KNO
79%
14%
7%
43 55 12 0
18 Jan. 2020
KNO
Knockbreda
2 - 6
Harland & Wolff Welders
HAR
37%
23%
41%
45 49 4 -2
11 Jan. 2020
QUB
Queens University Belfast
4 - 0
Knockbreda
KNO
72%
17%
12%
45 55 10 0
04 Jan. 2020
KNO
Knockbreda
3 - 2
Dergview FC
DER
36%
24%
40%
44 49 5 +1
26 Dec. 2019
KNO
Knockbreda
0 - 8
Ards FC
ARD
26%
23%
51%
45 54 9 -1

Matches

Ballinamallard United
Ballinamallard United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jan. 2020
BAL
Ballinamallard United
1 - 5
Sligo Rovers
SLR
40%
23%
37%
61 63 2 0
25 Jan. 2020
BAL
Ballinamallard United
2 - 2
Ards FC
ARD
66%
20%
14%
61 53 8 0
18 Jan. 2020
POR
Portadown
3 - 3
Ballinamallard United
BAL
49%
25%
26%
61 62 1 0
11 Jan. 2020
BAL
Ballinamallard United
1 - 2
Loughgall
LOU
63%
21%
17%
62 54 8 -1
04 Jan. 2020
BAL
Ballinamallard United
1 - 0
Dollingstown
DOL
71%
16%
13%
62 49 13 0