Klingnau vs Tuggen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.4%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.3%
80.2%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
6%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.4%
0-4
7.2%
1-5
3.5%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.6%
0-5
4.3%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
6.3%
0-6
2.1%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
3%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuggen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
BAS
4 - 1
TUG
73%
16%
11%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
TUG
1 - 3
RAP
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2016 |
WIN
1 - 4
TUG
29%
24%
47%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
SIR
2 - 4
TUG
16%
19%
65%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
TUG
0 - 3
BRE
38%
24%
38%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |