Oberliga Niederrhein Round 17

Kleve vs Schwarz-Weiss Essen analysis

Kleve Schwarz-Weiss Essen
30 ELO 42
-5.2% Tilt 3.6%
5331º General ELO ranking 3014º
263º Country ELO ranking 131º
ELO win probability
22.5%
Kleve
21%
Draw
56.5%
Schwarz-Weiss Essen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.5%
Win probability
Kleve
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
56.4%
Win probability
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Kleve
+8%
+22%
Schwarz-Weiss Essen

Points and table prediction

Kleve
Their league position
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
16º
15º
54
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
SF Baumberg
70
73
100%
KFC Uerdingen 05
61
64
57.5%
Schonnebeck
60
63
57.5%
Hilden
55
58
57.5%
Homberg
52
55
22.5%
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
54
54
48.5%
SV Straelen
15º
34
53
4.5%
Germania Ratingen
52
53
23.5%
Sonsbeck
44
45
71.5%
FC Büderich
42
43
10º
38%
SC St. Tönis
10º
41
42
11º
36%
SC Union Nettetal
11º
41
42
12º
55.5%
TVD Velbert
12º
37
38
13º
27%
Mülheimer FC 97
13º
37
38
14º
21%
Kleve
14º
35
36
15º
35%
Meerbusch
16º
34
35
16º
52.5%
Union Frintrop
17º
33
34
17º
81.5%
Hamborn
18º
29
29
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Kleve
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
Mid-table
57.5% 100%
Promotion
0% 0%
Relegation
42.5% 0%

ELO progression

Kleve
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Kleve
Kleve
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Dec. 2023
DJK
Union Frintrop
1 - 1
Kleve
KLE
30%
21%
49%
31 25 6 0
19 Nov. 2023
KLE
Kleve
1 - 4
Meerbusch
MEE
48%
22%
30%
33 30 3 -2
12 Nov. 2023
SON
Sonsbeck
5 - 1
Kleve
KLE
48%
22%
30%
34 35 1 -1
05 Nov. 2023
KLE
Kleve
0 - 4
SC Union Nettetal
NET
55%
21%
24%
35 30 5 -1
29 Oct. 2023
HIL
Hilden
2 - 1
Kleve
KLE
63%
21%
17%
36 44 8 -1

Matches

Schwarz-Weiss Essen
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Nov. 2023
SWE
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
3 - 1
Homberg
VFB
54%
21%
25%
40 37 3 0
19 Nov. 2023
TEU
SC St. Tönis
2 - 1
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
SWE
23%
21%
57%
40 29 11 0
12 Nov. 2023
HAM
Hamborn
0 - 4
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
SWE
32%
23%
45%
38 33 5 +2
04 Nov. 2023
KFC
KFC Uerdingen 05
4 - 1
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
SWE
53%
22%
25%
39 40 1 -1
22 Oct. 2023
FCB
FC Büderich
1 - 4
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
SWE
11%
15%
74%
39 18 21 0