Kitzbühel vs Pinzgau Saalfelden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
37.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
2º
13º
13º
1
12º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
9 | 74 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 66 |
2º
|
33.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 62 |
3º
|
24.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 56 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 55 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 54 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 51 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 48 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 48 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 39 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 38 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 36 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
7 | 33 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
1 | 31 |
14º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 28 |
15º
|
16.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 21 |
16º
|
33.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 19 |
17º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
59.5% | 45.5% |
|
Relegation
|
40.5% | 54.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kitzbühel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
DOR
4 - 2
KIT
74%
16%
10%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2025 |
KIT
3 - 1
REI
15%
22%
63%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | +2 |
| 11 Jul. 2025 |
BRA
0 - 1
KIT
47%
24%
30%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
KIT
1 - 3
BIS
23%
25%
52%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
KUF
1 - 2
KIT
39%
25%
36%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Pinzgau Saalfelden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
PIN
0 - 1
WAL
27%
25%
48%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
PIN
1 - 2
ROT
64%
19%
17%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2025 |
PIN
0 - 4
BRA
53%
23%
25%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
PIN
2 - 0
SCR
34%
25%
40%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
HOH
6 - 0
PIN
72%
18%
10%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |