Kitzbühel vs Hard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
17.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kitzbühel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
WAT
0 - 1
KIT
82%
12%
6%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
STJ
1 - 1
KIT
45%
24%
31%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
KIT
1 - 1
PIN
59%
20%
21%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
DOR
1 - 3
KIT
62%
20%
18%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
KIT
1 - 0
FCH
53%
23%
24%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
HAR
1 - 3
STJ
52%
22%
26%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
PIN
4 - 1
HAR
37%
24%
38%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
HAR
0 - 2
DOR
51%
22%
27%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
FCH
2 - 2
HAR
41%
24%
35%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
HAR
4 - 1
KUF
32%
23%
46%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +2 |