Kitchee Reserve vs Southern District Reserve analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.6%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
10.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+76%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kitchee Reserve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
KIT
1 - 4
DRE
61%
17%
22%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2018 |
HKS
3 - 1
KIT
24%
22%
54%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
KIT
5 - 0
GUA
91%
7%
3%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2018 |
KIT
0 - 0
YLO
91%
6%
3%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | +3 |
| 09 May. 2018 |
KIT
2 - 1
PEG
63%
17%
20%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Southern District Reserve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
WTP
0 - 0
SOU
71%
16%
14%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2018 |
SOU
1 - 1
PEG
31%
20%
49%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
SOU
2 - 0
HKS
30%
21%
49%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +2 |
| 25 Apr. 2018 |
WTP
2 - 2
SOU
81%
12%
7%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | +3 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
WFR
2 - 0
SOU
53%
21%
27%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -3 |