Kingborough Lions vs South Hobart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
1.2%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
4%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.6%
84.8%
Win probability
3.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
6.7%
2-5
1.9%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
18.5%
0-4
8.1%
1-5
4.5%
2-6
1%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
13.8%
0-5
5.5%
1-6
2.5%
2-7
0.5%
3-8
0.1%
-5
8.6%
0-6
3.1%
1-7
1.2%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
4.5%
0-7
1.5%
1-8
0.5%
2-9
0.1%
-7
2.1%
0-8
0.6%
1-9
0.2%
2-10
0%
-8
0.8%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0.1%
-9
0.3%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kingborough Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
LAU
1 - 0
KIN
70%
16%
15%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
KIN
4 - 1
CLA
72%
15%
13%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
DEV
5 - 0
KIN
84%
10%
6%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
HOB
2 - 1
KIN
89%
7%
3%
|
10 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
KIN
1 - 1
NOR
14%
16%
71%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
South Hobart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
SOU
5 - 1
OLY
82%
11%
7%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
HOB
2 - 2
SOU
25%
19%
57%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
SOU
3 - 2
OLY
68%
17%
15%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
SOU
8 - 0
CLA
92%
6%
2%
|
39 | 8 | 31 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
SOU
0 - 1
DEV
88%
8%
4%
|
40 | 16 | 24 | -1 |