SPL Round 5

Kilmarnock vs Greenock Morton analysis

Kilmarnock Greenock Morton
66 ELO 59
-1.8% Tilt -7.2%
529º General ELO ranking 1349º
10º Country ELO ranking 19º
ELO win probability
74.3%
Kilmarnock
14.9%
Draw
10.8%
Greenock Morton

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.3%
Win probability
Kilmarnock
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
10.8%
Win probability
Greenock Morton
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Kilmarnock
-4%
-2%
Greenock Morton

ELO progression

Kilmarnock
Greenock Morton
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Nov. 1908
KIL
Kilmarnock
4 - 2
Third Lanark
TLA
26%
26%
48%
64 83 19 0
21 Nov. 1908
KIL
Kilmarnock
0 - 1
Hibernian FC
HIB
27%
26%
47%
64 83 19 0
14 Nov. 1908
DUN
Dundee
5 - 0
Kilmarnock
KIL
81%
12%
6%
65 83 18 -1
07 Nov. 1908
KIL
Kilmarnock
2 - 1
Clyde
CLY
60%
20%
21%
64 65 1 +1
31 Oct. 1908
KIL
Kilmarnock
1 - 0
Port Glasgow Athletic
PGA
81%
12%
7%
64 55 9 0

Matches

Greenock Morton
Greenock Morton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Dec. 1908
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
5 - 0
Greenock Morton
GRE
87%
9%
4%
60 83 23 0
28 Nov. 1908
GRE
Greenock Morton
1 - 2
Port Glasgow Athletic
PGA
74%
15%
10%
61 54 7 -1
21 Nov. 1908
PAR
Partick Thistle
5 - 1
Greenock Morton
GRE
60%
20%
20%
62 61 1 -1
14 Nov. 1908
GRE
Greenock Morton
2 - 4
Clyde
CLY
53%
22%
25%
63 64 1 -1
07 Nov. 1908
GLA
Rangers
8 - 0
Greenock Morton
GRE
90%
7%
3%
64 83 19 -1