SPL Round 30

Kilmarnock vs Falkirk analysis

Kilmarnock Falkirk
76 ELO 66
9.7% Tilt 10.2%
525º General ELO ranking 436º
10º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
66%
Kilmarnock
19.8%
Draw
14.1%
Falkirk

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
Kilmarnock
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
14.1%
Win probability
Falkirk
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Kilmarnock
+2%
-1%
Falkirk

ELO progression

Kilmarnock
Falkirk
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Mar. 2006
GLA
Rangers
4 - 0
Kilmarnock
KIL
64%
20%
16%
76 83 7 0
04 Mar. 2006
KIL
Kilmarnock
1 - 0
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
65%
20%
15%
76 68 8 0
18 Feb. 2006
KIL
Kilmarnock
3 - 1
Livingston
LIV
72%
18%
11%
75 63 12 +1
11 Feb. 2006
ICT
Inverness CT
3 - 3
Kilmarnock
KIL
50%
25%
26%
76 76 0 -1
08 Feb. 2006
KIL
Kilmarnock
2 - 0
Motherwell
MHE
53%
24%
23%
75 75 0 +1

Matches

Falkirk
Falkirk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Mar. 2006
MHE
Motherwell
3 - 1
Falkirk
FAL
63%
21%
16%
67 75 8 0
04 Mar. 2006
FAL
Falkirk
1 - 2
Rangers
GLA
31%
27%
43%
67 83 16 0
25 Feb. 2006
FAL
Falkirk
1 - 5
Hibernian FC
HIB
33%
25%
42%
68 78 10 -1
18 Feb. 2006
ABE
Aberdeen
1 - 0
Falkirk
FAL
53%
25%
22%
69 76 7 -1
14 Feb. 2006
ROS
Ross County FC
0 - 1
Falkirk
FAL
37%
25%
38%
68 66 2 +1