Kilmarnock vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
21.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
ICT
2 - 1
KIL
38%
29%
33%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
KIL
2 - 0
DUN
66%
21%
13%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 1
KIL
29%
29%
42%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
KIL
2 - 1
PAR
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
KIL
2 - 1
QOS
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
ARB
5 - 1
QOS
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
HAM
0 - 1
ARB
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
PAR
0 - 0
ARB
34%
28%
38%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
ARB
3 - 3
RAI
45%
27%
27%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
ARB
1 - 0
AYR
54%
25%
22%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |