Kilikia vs Gandzasar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
53.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilikia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
MIK
3 - 0
KIL
74%
17%
10%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
KIL
1 - 1
BAN
19%
24%
57%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
MIK
2 - 1
KIL
79%
15%
6%
|
47 | 72 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
KIL
2 - 0
SHI
33%
25%
42%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2009 |
GAN
4 - 1
KIL
76%
16%
8%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Gandzasar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2010 |
GAN
1 - 1
ULI
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
GAN
4 - 1
SHI
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
GAN
2 - 3
ARA
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
PYU
7 - 0
GAN
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2009 |
GAN
4 - 1
KIL
76%
16%
8%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |