Kilia Kiel vs Pansdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.8%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.9%
6.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
81
1º
3º
1º
24
7º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
73 | 73 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
21 | 27 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilia Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
KIL
1 - 4
HOL
12%
16%
72%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
KIL
1 - 2
FCP
12%
16%
73%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
KIL
7 - 0
FRI
82%
11%
7%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
PAN
0 - 6
KIL
19%
19%
63%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
KIL
5 - 1
BOR
57%
20%
24%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Pansdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ECK
2 - 0
PAN
74%
15%
11%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
PAN
0 - 6
KIL
19%
19%
63%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
PAN
3 - 3
LUB
31%
21%
48%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
WEF
8 - 1
PAN
43%
22%
35%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
EIC
2 - 0
PAN
85%
10%
5%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |