Kidlington vs Aylesbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
35%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kidlington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
HIS
1 - 4
KID
57%
20%
23%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
TOW
3 - 2
KID
80%
14%
7%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
KID
3 - 1
FLE
31%
21%
48%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
KID
1 - 1
TOW
12%
19%
70%
|
16 | 47 | 31 | +3 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
ASH
5 - 1
KID
66%
18%
16%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aylesbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
AYL
0 - 1
BED
55%
22%
24%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
FLE
2 - 3
AYL
43%
26%
32%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
AYL
0 - 1
AYL
72%
17%
12%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
ASH
1 - 0
AYL
33%
26%
41%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
AYL
1 - 3
HAN
70%
17%
13%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -1 |