Kidderminster Harriers vs Wrexham AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
33.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kidderminster Harriers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
KID
1 - 1
LIN
68%
19%
13%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2012 |
KID
1 - 2
LUT
43%
25%
32%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
STO
2 - 1
KID
25%
24%
51%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2012 |
KID
1 - 1
YOR
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
ALF
0 - 2
KID
37%
24%
39%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
WRE
4 - 1
HAY
69%
20%
11%
|
62 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
WRE
2 - 0
BAT
67%
21%
13%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 0
WRE
24%
28%
48%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
WRE
4 - 1
KET
70%
20%
10%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
WRE
1 - 1
BHA
33%
28%
39%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |