Kidderminster Harriers vs Gateshead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
26%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kidderminster Harriers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
STO
1 - 0
KID
42%
25%
33%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
KID
3 - 0
HYD
55%
23%
22%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
EBB
1 - 1
KID
33%
24%
42%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
KID
3 - 0
MAC
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
CAM
1 - 3
KID
48%
25%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Gateshead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
GAT
0 - 0
CAM
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
GAT
2 - 2
MAC
58%
22%
20%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
HYD
1 - 1
GAT
45%
24%
31%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
GAT
1 - 1
AFC
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
GRI
3 - 0
GAT
58%
22%
20%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |