Norwegian Eliteserien Round 3

KFUM Oslo vs Sarpsborg 08 analysis

KFUM Oslo Sarpsborg 08
78 ELO 81
-3.8% Tilt 7.3%
699º General ELO ranking 456º
13º Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
30.5%
KFUM Oslo
25.6%
Draw
43.8%
Sarpsborg 08

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.5%
Win probability
KFUM Oslo
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
43.8%
Win probability
Sarpsborg 08
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
KFUM Oslo
+9%
+8%
Sarpsborg 08

Points and table prediction

KFUM Oslo
Their league position
Sarpsborg 08
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
15º
22
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Viking Stavanger
42
62
56.5%
FK Bodo Glimt
39
60
40.5%
SK Brann
33
54
31.5%
Tromsø IL
33
51
26%
Rosenborg BK
30
48
18.5%
Sandefjord
27
45
10%
Molde FK
23
44
17%
Fredrikstad
26
44
15.5%
KFUM Oslo
25
43
11%
Sarpsborg 08
10º
22
43
10º
19.5%
Valerenga IF
11º
21
42
11º
12.5%
Kristiansund BK
13º
19
34
12º
21.5%
HamKam
14º
17
32
13º
25.5%
Bryne
12º
19
31
14º
36%
Stromsgodset IF
15º
9
24
15º
68.5%
Haugesund
16º
5
14
16º
94%
Expected probabilities
KFUM Oslo
Sarpsborg 08
Champions League qualifying phase
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
5.5% 4%
Mid-table
93% 95%
Relegation play-offs
1.5% 0.5%
Relegation
0% 0.5%

ELO progression

KFUM Oslo
Sarpsborg 08
Molde FK
Kristiansund BK
HamKam
Valerenga IF
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

KFUM Oslo
KFUM Oslo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 2025
SGR
SF Grei
1 - 5
KFUM Oslo
KFU
6%
14%
81%
78 26 52 0
06 Apr. 2025
VKG
Viking Stavanger
3 - 1
KFUM Oslo
KFU
65%
20%
16%
78 84 6 0
30 Mar. 2025
KFU
KFUM Oslo
3 - 1
Sandefjord
SDF
41%
26%
33%
78 76 2 0
22 Mar. 2025
STR
Stromsgodset IF
2 - 1
KFUM Oslo
KFU
50%
24%
27%
77 79 2 +1
15 Mar. 2025
SDF
Sandefjord
1 - 0
KFUM Oslo
KFU
46%
24%
31%
77 76 1 0

Matches

Sarpsborg 08
Sarpsborg 08
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 2025
SJE
Sprint-Jeløy
0 - 4
Sarpsborg 08
S08
5%
11%
84%
81 22 59 0
06 Apr. 2025
S08
Sarpsborg 08
1 - 1
Valerenga IF
VIF
38%
24%
38%
81 83 2 0
30 Mar. 2025
MFK
Molde FK
0 - 2
Sarpsborg 08
S08
54%
22%
25%
80 84 4 +1
22 Mar. 2025
HÄC
Häcken
0 - 4
Sarpsborg 08
S08
60%
19%
21%
80 82 2 0
15 Mar. 2025
S08
Sarpsborg 08
0 - 0
Mjällby AIF
MJÄ
45%
25%
30%
80 82 2 0