Moen vs RC Lauwe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.4%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
8.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
11º
9º
22
5º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
85.5% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 49 |
6º
|
85.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
KFM
5 - 1
KSV
77%
14%
9%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
OOS
1 - 0
KFM
26%
21%
53%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
KFM
5 - 1
RAC
35%
22%
43%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
KWL
2 - 1
KFM
63%
18%
19%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
KFM
0 - 0
MEU
56%
20%
24%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
RC Lauwe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
BLA
6 - 2
RCL
85%
11%
5%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
RCL
0 - 3
SHE
39%
22%
39%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
KEZ
1 - 1
RCL
68%
18%
14%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
RCL
3 - 3
DIK
16%
18%
66%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
OOS
3 - 1
RCL
53%
22%
25%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |