Moen vs Meulebeke analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
24.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-106%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
11º
9º
31
7º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
85.5% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 49 |
6º
|
85.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
SAS
3 - 1
KFM
68%
17%
15%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
KFM
2 - 1
KSV
63%
19%
19%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
BLA
5 - 0
KFM
72%
15%
12%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
KFM
1 - 1
VAR
50%
21%
29%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
RCL
2 - 1
KFM
23%
20%
57%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Meulebeke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
MEU
2 - 2
KWL
27%
24%
49%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
MEU
2 - 1
KSV
52%
21%
27%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
OOS
2 - 2
MEU
33%
23%
43%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
MEU
3 - 1
KVC
22%
21%
58%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MEU
0 - 0
WEV
21%
22%
58%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |