KFB vs Ægir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.9%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
75.8%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
16.1%
0-4
6%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.2%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KFB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
BLI
5 - 1
KFB
80%
12%
8%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
KFB
4 - 3
SRI
9%
14%
77%
|
13 | 29 | 16 | +3 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
KHR
11 - 1
KFB
94%
5%
2%
|
13 | 44 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
KFB
1 - 2
HMH
4%
9%
87%
|
14 | 49 | 35 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
UPP
2 - 3
KFB
85%
10%
5%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Ægir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
HOH
1 - 2
AEG
48%
23%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
AEG
1 - 2
KFG
46%
24%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
AEG
1 - 0
DAL
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
KFF
3 - 1
AEG
45%
23%
31%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
IHH
2 - 3
AEG
30%
23%
46%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |