Kettering Town vs Merthyr Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
27.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kettering Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
KET
2 - 1
BAS
62%
21%
17%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2017 |
CAM
2 - 3
KET
15%
20%
65%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
KET
1 - 1
KIN
53%
23%
24%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
SLO
3 - 2
KET
48%
24%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
CIR
1 - 6
KET
21%
21%
58%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Merthyr Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
CIR
0 - 2
MER
21%
22%
57%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
MER
2 - 0
CIN
85%
10%
4%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
MER
3 - 0
STN
82%
12%
6%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2016 |
MER
2 - 2
CHI
49%
23%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
MER
5 - 0
KIN
71%
17%
12%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |