Kerry FC vs UC Dublin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
68.4%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
8º
10º
10º
56
2º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kerry FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2024 |
LON
2 - 1
KEF
79%
13%
8%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
KEF
0 - 1
CAO
20%
24%
57%
|
27 | 64 | 37 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
BRW
2 - 0
KEF
79%
14%
8%
|
27 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
KEF
1 - 2
ATH
16%
20%
64%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
TRE
0 - 0
KEF
77%
15%
8%
|
27 | 53 | 26 | +1 |
Matches
UC Dublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2024 |
UCD
1 - 2
COB
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
UCD
1 - 0
LON
72%
17%
12%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
TRE
0 - 2
UCD
44%
24%
32%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +2 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
WEX
2 - 3
UCD
59%
21%
20%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
UCD
0 - 0
CAO
23%
26%
51%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |