De Kennemers vs NVC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
22.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Kennemers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
USV
3 - 1
DEK
51%
24%
25%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
DEK
7 - 1
FCB
30%
24%
46%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +4 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
KAM
0 - 1
DEK
57%
22%
20%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
BRE
2 - 1
DEK
43%
25%
32%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
DEK
2 - 2
AFC
29%
25%
47%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
NVC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
NVC
1 - 2
JOS
34%
25%
41%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
CHA
0 - 2
NVC
78%
15%
7%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
NVC
0 - 3
FCB
34%
24%
42%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
NVC
1 - 4
DEZ
28%
24%
48%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
NVC
4 - 2
KAM
39%
24%
37%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +2 |