De Kennemers vs AFC '34 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
46.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Kennemers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
JOS
1 - 1
DEK
66%
20%
14%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
DEK
2 - 1
CHA
16%
21%
63%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | +4 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
DEK
0 - 1
NVC
39%
25%
36%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
DEZ
0 - 0
DEK
73%
17%
10%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
DEK
2 - 2
BRE
43%
25%
33%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
AFC '34
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
AFC
1 - 1
BRE
71%
17%
12%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
KAM
1 - 0
AFC
32%
25%
43%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
JOS
1 - 3
AFC
46%
24%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +2 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
AFC
2 - 4
CHA
34%
25%
40%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
DEZ
0 - 1
AFC
51%
24%
25%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -2 |