FA Cup . Previa 3

Kempston Rovers vs Bedford Town analysis

Kempston Rovers Bedford Town
18 ELO 34
10.4% Tilt 4.8%
11467º General ELO ranking 7343º
740º Country ELO ranking 369º
ELO win probability
19%
Kempston Rovers
21.4%
Draw
59.6%
Bedford Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
Kempston Rovers
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
59.6%
Win probability
Bedford Town
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO progression

Kempston Rovers
Bedford Town
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Kempston Rovers
Kempston Rovers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Aug. 2022
BIG
Biggleswade Town
2 - 2
Kempston Rovers
KEM
59%
21%
20%
19 23 4 0
27 Aug. 2022
KEM
Kempston Rovers
1 - 1
Highworth Town
HIG
42%
23%
34%
19 22 3 0
20 Aug. 2022
KEM
Kempston Rovers
2 - 0
Wisbech Town
WIS
72%
17%
11%
18 13 5 +1
16 Aug. 2022
KEM
Kempston Rovers
5 - 0
Welwyn Garden City
WEL
13%
18%
69%
15 31 16 +3
13 Aug. 2022
WAL
Waltham Abbey
1 - 2
Kempston Rovers
KEM
80%
13%
8%
14 23 9 +1

Matches

Bedford Town
Bedford Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Aug. 2022
BED
Bedford Town
0 - 2
Royston Town
ROY
42%
22%
36%
35 37 2 0
27 Aug. 2022
HED
Hednesford Town
1 - 2
Bedford Town
BED
43%
23%
34%
34 33 1 +1
20 Aug. 2022
BED
Bedford Town
1 - 8
Tamworth
TAM
50%
23%
27%
36 36 0 -2
15 Aug. 2022
KIN
Kings Langley
3 - 1
Bedford Town
BED
29%
23%
49%
38 31 7 -2
13 Aug. 2022
BED
Bedford Town
3 - 2
Barwell
BAR
66%
18%
16%
38 30 8 0
X