Kematen vs Wörgl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
67.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kematen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 0
KEM
64%
18%
18%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
SCH
4 - 1
KEM
17%
19%
64%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
KEM
5 - 2
HAL
58%
20%
23%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
KUN
4 - 1
KEM
36%
22%
42%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2015 |
KEM
4 - 2
MAT
49%
20%
31%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Wörgl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
WOR
1 - 0
SCH
88%
9%
3%
|
49 | 16 | 33 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
HAL
1 - 0
WOR
10%
18%
71%
|
51 | 19 | 32 | -2 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
WOR
3 - 1
KUN
82%
13%
5%
|
51 | 20 | 31 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
MAT
2 - 5
WOR
13%
20%
67%
|
51 | 20 | 31 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2015 |
WOR
0 - 2
FUG
83%
12%
5%
|
51 | 23 | 28 | 0 |