Keith vs Wick Academy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
70.7%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Keith
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
COV
7 - 1
KEI
85%
10%
5%
|
22 | 48 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
KEI
0 - 6
FOR
19%
20%
61%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
LOS
1 - 3
KEI
49%
22%
29%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
BRO
9 - 0
KEI
82%
12%
6%
|
23 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
KEI
1 - 8
NAI
13%
20%
67%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | -2 |
Matches
Wick Academy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
WIC
1 - 1
CLA
73%
15%
11%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
WIC
3 - 2
HUN
76%
14%
10%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
FOR
2 - 2
WIC
37%
24%
39%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
LOS
0 - 0
WIC
11%
16%
73%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
COV
5 - 2
WIC
59%
21%
21%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |