Keith vs Rothes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.1%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
71.7%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
10º
18º
15º
44
8º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 90 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
2º
|
86 | 86 |
2º
|
78.5% | |
|
3º
|
77 | 80 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
71 | 74 |
4º
|
94.5% | |
|
5º
|
68 | 71 |
5º
|
94.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 46 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
67.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
48.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 34 |
13º
|
67.5% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
58.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 26 |
16º
|
42% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
80.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Keith
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
BAN
8 - 0
KEI
87%
9%
4%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
KEI
2 - 1
CLA
55%
20%
25%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
TUR
1 - 1
KEI
46%
22%
33%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
WIC
1 - 0
KEI
65%
19%
17%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
KEI
0 - 4
BRO
5%
11%
84%
|
24 | 52 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Rothes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
ROT
0 - 4
BRO
21%
20%
59%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
HUN
1 - 1
ROT
11%
18%
72%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
ROT
0 - 5
INV
58%
22%
21%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
NAI
2 - 2
ROT
16%
21%
63%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
BRE
1 - 0
ROT
54%
22%
24%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |