Keith vs Rothes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.6%
6.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Keith
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
LOS
1 - 2
KEI
70%
16%
14%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
WIC
3 - 0
KEI
88%
8%
3%
|
19 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
KEI
2 - 0
DEV
17%
21%
62%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
KEI
0 - 4
INV
7%
14%
80%
|
18 | 46 | 28 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 0
KEI
85%
11%
5%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Rothes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
COV
6 - 0
ROT
88%
9%
3%
|
10 | 54 | 44 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
ROT
2 - 2
BUC
7%
13%
80%
|
7 | 40 | 33 | +3 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
LOS
3 - 1
ROT
87%
9%
4%
|
7 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
ROT
0 - 7
DEV
9%
14%
77%
|
7 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
WIC
7 - 0
ROT
90%
7%
3%
|
7 | 48 | 41 | 0 |