Keith vs Rothes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
19.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Keith
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
TUR
1 - 1
KEI
70%
17%
13%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
KEI
1 - 4
DEV
21%
23%
56%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | -2 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
KEI
0 - 1
STC
67%
19%
15%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
KEI
0 - 1
ARB
13%
18%
69%
|
33 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
WIC
0 - 1
KEI
66%
18%
16%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Rothes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
ROT
3 - 2
FOR
86%
10%
4%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 0
ROT
72%
17%
11%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
ROT
0 - 4
BUC
24%
22%
54%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
BUC
0 - 0
ROT
72%
17%
12%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ROT
0 - 3
CLA
51%
22%
27%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |