Keith vs Hill Of Beath Hawthorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
39%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Keith
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
DEV
1 - 2
KEI
49%
22%
29%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
KEI
5 - 1
FOR
84%
11%
6%
|
30 | 9 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
INV
2 - 0
KEI
81%
12%
7%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
KEI
0 - 5
ELG
13%
17%
70%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
STR
1 - 3
KEI
20%
19%
61%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
HBH
2 - 1
WHI
74%
15%
11%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
HBH
2 - 0
WHI
86%
9%
5%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
DUN
3 - 2
HBH
51%
23%
26%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
HBH
0 - 3
JSW
45%
23%
32%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
HBH
0 - 4
IHS
92%
6%
2%
|
40 | 10 | 30 | -1 |