Keith vs Fraserburgh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.8%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
75.6%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
16%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.5%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Keith
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
BRO
4 - 1
KEI
88%
9%
3%
|
21 | 56 | 35 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2015 |
COV
3 - 0
KEI
88%
9%
4%
|
22 | 50 | 28 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
KEI
1 - 0
BUC
13%
16%
71%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | +3 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
ROT
1 - 4
KEI
21%
19%
60%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
KEI
2 - 3
WIC
10%
15%
75%
|
20 | 46 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Fraserburgh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
FRA
1 - 2
BUC
79%
14%
8%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
ROT
1 - 3
FRA
8%
14%
78%
|
49 | 11 | 38 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
FRA
1 - 3
LOS
85%
10%
5%
|
49 | 23 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
DEV
2 - 2
FRA
18%
21%
60%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 3
FRA
17%
20%
63%
|
50 | 25 | 25 | -1 |