Keith vs Forres Mechanics analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
42.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
11º
17º
15º
46
6º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
82 | 82 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
72 | 72 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
72 | 72 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
63 | 63 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
59 | 59 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
58 | 58 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
55 | 55 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
17 | 17 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 11 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Keith
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BRO
2 - 3
KEI
89%
8%
3%
|
26 | 54 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
KEI
0 - 1
TUR
20%
19%
61%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ROT
0 - 1
KEI
54%
21%
25%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
KEI
1 - 2
BAN
6%
15%
79%
|
26 | 56 | 30 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
CLA
2 - 0
KEI
39%
22%
39%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Forres Mechanics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FOR
3 - 2
LOS
72%
16%
11%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FOR
2 - 3
FOR
86%
10%
5%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
STR
1 - 6
FOR
11%
16%
73%
|
30 | 12 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 4
BRO
6%
13%
81%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
TUR
2 - 2
FOR
70%
16%
14%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |