Keith vs Forres Mechanics analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
39%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Keith
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
TUR
1 - 3
KEI
15%
18%
68%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
CLA
0 - 1
KEI
29%
22%
50%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
KEI
5 - 1
STR
84%
10%
6%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
WIC
3 - 2
KEI
59%
20%
21%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2021 |
INV
5 - 3
KEI
84%
11%
5%
|
29 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Forres Mechanics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
FOR
0 - 1
BRE
20%
22%
58%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
FOR
2 - 3
NAI
36%
23%
41%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
LOS
0 - 0
FOR
15%
18%
68%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 1
FOR
20%
22%
59%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
WIC
2 - 0
FOR
33%
22%
45%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -2 |