Keith vs Formartine United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.3%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
73.1%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Keith
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
KEI
4 - 2
LOS
68%
18%
14%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
DEV
0 - 4
KEI
45%
23%
32%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
KEI
3 - 4
FOR
43%
24%
34%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
KEI
0 - 0
TUR
16%
21%
63%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
KEI
0 - 1
WIC
14%
19%
67%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Formartine United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
STR
0 - 10
FOR
7%
14%
79%
|
51 | 12 | 39 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
NAI
0 - 1
FOR
26%
23%
52%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
FOR
5 - 1
CLA
86%
10%
4%
|
51 | 26 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
COV
1 - 0
FOR
53%
22%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
FOR
5 - 1
HUN
88%
9%
3%
|
51 | 25 | 26 | 0 |