Keith vs Formartine United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
64.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Keith
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
ROT
3 - 5
KEI
19%
20%
61%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
DEV
5 - 2
KEI
75%
15%
10%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
KEI
4 - 2
STR
83%
12%
6%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
INV
3 - 1
KEI
80%
13%
7%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
WIC
1 - 0
KEI
78%
14%
8%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Formartine United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
FOR
4 - 0
FOR
88%
9%
4%
|
50 | 8 | 42 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
FOR
4 - 2
LOS
82%
12%
6%
|
50 | 16 | 34 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
COV
3 - 1
FOR
43%
24%
34%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 0
BRO
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
FRA
0 - 1
FOR
37%
25%
38%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |