Keith vs Elgin City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
63%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Keith
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
FRA
4 - 0
KEI
72%
16%
12%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
KEI
0 - 2
BUC
25%
25%
51%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
FOR
4 - 5
KEI
49%
23%
27%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
NAI
0 - 1
KEI
66%
18%
16%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
KEI
1 - 1
CLA
38%
24%
38%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
ELG
4 - 0
STI
49%
22%
29%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
QUE
3 - 3
ELG
45%
24%
32%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
ELG
3 - 3
MON
59%
20%
21%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
ELG
1 - 0
CLY
66%
18%
15%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
PET
2 - 2
ELG
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |