KCCA FC vs Mbarara City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
17.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.5%
1-0
16%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
6.3%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KCCA FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
KCC
2 - 0
BRI
77%
17%
7%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
OND
0 - 2
KCC
27%
29%
44%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
KCC
0 - 0
JIN
73%
18%
9%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
KCC
2 - 1
SOA
76%
16%
8%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
VIP
0 - 0
KCC
34%
26%
41%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Mbarara City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
NFC
2 - 1
MCF
42%
26%
33%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
MCF
2 - 0
MFC
62%
22%
17%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
MCF
3 - 1
EXP
49%
24%
26%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
NUF
1 - 0
MCF
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2018 |
MCF
1 - 0
OND
47%
25%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +7 |