Kenya Premier League Round 17

KCB vs AFC Leopards analysis

KCB AFC Leopards
68 ELO 68
-9.1% Tilt -19.5%
2059º General ELO ranking 1868º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
46.1%
KCB
28.1%
Draw
25.8%
AFC Leopards

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
KCB
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
25.8%
Win probability
AFC Leopards
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
KCB
-29%
+6%
AFC Leopards

Points and table prediction

KCB
Their league position
AFC Leopards
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
51
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Kenya Police FC
65
65
100%
Gor Mahia
59
59
100%
Kakamega Homeboyz
58
58
100%
Tusker FC
57
57
100%
Shabana
53
53
100%
AFC Leopards
51
51
100%
Sofapaka
46
46
100%
Bandari
44
44
100%
KCB
42
42
0%
Mathare United
10º
42
42
10º
0%
Kariobangi Sharks
11º
40
40
11º
100%
Ulinzi Stars
12º
38
38
12º
100%
Murang'a SEAL
13º
37
37
13º
100%
Mara Sugar
14º
36
36
14º
100%
Bidco United FC
15º
35
35
15º
100%
FC Talanta
17º
35
35
16º
0%
Posta Rangers
16º
35
35
17º
0%
Nairobi City Stars
18º
35
35
18º
0%
Expected probabilities
KCB
AFC Leopards
CAF Champions League
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

KCB
AFC Leopards
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

KCB
KCB
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Jan. 2025
NAI
Nairobi City Stars
1 - 1
KCB
KCB
36%
28%
36%
69 60 9 0
21 Dec. 2024
KCB
KCB
4 - 3
Mara Sugar
MSU
65%
22%
13%
69 19 50 0
15 Dec. 2024
SHA
Shabana
2 - 0
KCB
KCB
27%
29%
44%
69 35 34 0
12 Dec. 2024
KCB
KCB
0 - 0
Sofapaka
SOF
48%
27%
25%
69 64 5 0
08 Dec. 2024
BAN
Bandari
1 - 1
KCB
KCB
45%
29%
26%
69 69 0 0

Matches

AFC Leopards
AFC Leopards
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Jan. 2025
AFC
AFC Leopards
2 - 4
FC Talanta
TLT
55%
26%
19%
69 57 12 0
22 Dec. 2024
AFC
AFC Leopards
2 - 0
Bandari
BAN
44%
31%
26%
69 68 1 0
15 Dec. 2024
SOF
Sofapaka
1 - 1
AFC Leopards
AFC
38%
28%
34%
69 64 5 0
11 Dec. 2024
AFC
AFC Leopards
4 - 1
Tusker FC
TUS
34%
29%
37%
69 69 0 0
07 Dec. 2024
KAK
Kakamega Homeboyz
1 - 1
AFC Leopards
AFC
36%
29%
35%
69 65 4 0