Kavala vs Ethnikos Asteras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kavala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
PAN
3 - 0
AOK
81%
13%
6%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
AOK
1 - 1
PAO
20%
23%
57%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
AEK
3 - 0
AOK
79%
14%
7%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
AOK
4 - 1
TRI
55%
24%
22%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1999 |
KAL
3 - 2
AOK
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ethnikos Asteras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
ETH
3 - 1
APS
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
PAN
1 - 0
ETH
69%
18%
13%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
ETH
1 - 0
PRO
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2000 |
ETH
3 - 4
PAN
40%
25%
35%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
PAN
2 - 0
ETH
54%
24%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |