Kavala vs Aris Thessaloniki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.3%
Win probability
0.32
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.1%
+2
0.7%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
1%
3-2
0.1%
+1
4.6%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
18.4%
76.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
20.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
27.5%
0-2
19.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
23.9%
0-3
12.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
14.5%
0-4
6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kavala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
AOK
1 - 0
EVR
46%
24%
30%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
AOK
5 - 1
BYZ
42%
25%
33%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +2 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
PAN
2 - 1
AOK
70%
19%
11%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ARI
1 - 3
AOK
63%
20%
17%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
AOK
2 - 1
IRA
31%
25%
44%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Aris Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ARI
1 - 1
ETH
78%
18%
5%
|
82 | 39 | 43 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
EVR
0 - 3
ARI
11%
25%
64%
|
82 | 40 | 42 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2014 |
ARI
2 - 0
THY
77%
18%
5%
|
82 | 43 | 39 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
PAN
2 - 2
ARI
7%
20%
73%
|
82 | 49 | 33 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ARI
2 - 1
APO
78%
18%
5%
|
82 | 35 | 47 | 0 |