Kaspiy Aktau vs Tobol Kostanay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
47.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
11º
14º
14º
34
1º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 53 |
2º
|
73.5% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
73.5% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 29 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 29 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
50% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
52.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
59.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kaspiy Aktau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ORD
3 - 1
KAS
62%
22%
15%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
HKR
0 - 0
KAS
37%
24%
38%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
LIE
1 - 2
KAS
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
KAM
1 - 0
KAS
23%
23%
54%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
KYZ
4 - 1
KAS
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Tobol Kostanay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
TOB
3 - 1
AKS
54%
25%
22%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
TOB
5 - 1
SPA
71%
17%
12%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
MET
3 - 1
TOB
44%
25%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2023 |
YEN
1 - 2
TOB
31%
24%
45%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
0 - 1
TOB
22%
23%
56%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |