Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kashiwa Reysol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
SHO
2 - 2
KAR
31%
25%
43%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2018 |
KAR
1 - 1
SHO
51%
24%
26%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 3
KAR
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
URA
3 - 2
KAR
62%
21%
17%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
KAR
1 - 1
SAG
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
NAG
1 - 2
FCT
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
KAW
3 - 1
NAG
79%
14%
7%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
NAG
3 - 4
VVA
62%
21%
17%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
JUB
1 - 6
NAG
70%
19%
12%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
NAG
4 - 1
URA
20%
24%
57%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | +2 |