Turkish Süper Lig Round 8

Kasımpaşa vs Fenerbahçe analysis

Kasımpaşa Fenerbahçe
79 ELO 87
28.1% Tilt 4.6%
210º General ELO ranking 195º
11º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
36.2%
Kasımpaşa
24.5%
Draw
39.3%
Fenerbahçe

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.2%
Win probability
Kasımpaşa
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
39.3%
Win probability
Fenerbahçe
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Kasımpaşa
-6%
+28%
Fenerbahçe

Points and table prediction

Kasımpaşa
Their league position
Fenerbahçe
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
12º
99
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Galatasaray SK
102
102
100%
Fenerbahçe
99
99
100%
Trabzonspor
67
67
100%
İstanbul Başakşehir
61
61
100%
Beşiktaş
56
56
100%
Kasımpaşa
56
56
100%
Sivasspor
54
54
100%
Alanyaspor
52
52
100%
Rizespor
50
50
100%
Antalyaspor
10º
49
49
10º
100%
Kayserispor
14º
42
45
11º
100%
Adana Demirspor
12º
44
44
12º
100%
Gaziantep
11º
44
44
13º
100%
Samsunspor
13º
43
43
14º
100%
Hatayspor
15º
41
41
15º
0%
Konyaspor
16º
41
41
16º
0%
Fatih Karagümrük
18º
40
40
17º
0%
Ankaragücü
17º
40
40
18º
0%
Pendikspor
19º
37
37
19º
100%
Istanbulspor AS
20º
16
19
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Kasımpaşa
Fenerbahçe
Champion
0% 0%
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
0% 100%
Europa League qualifying phase
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Kasımpaşa
Fenerbahçe
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Kasımpaşa
Kasımpaşa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Oct. 2023
FAT
Fatih Karagümrük
2 - 3
Kasımpaşa
KAS
58%
22%
20%
79 81 2 0
24 Sep. 2023
KAS
Kasımpaşa
2 - 1
Adana Demirspor
ADA
36%
24%
40%
78 84 6 +1
17 Sep. 2023
ALA
Alanyaspor
3 - 3
Kasımpaşa
KAS
59%
21%
20%
78 80 2 0
01 Sep. 2023
KAS
Kasımpaşa
1 - 5
Trabzonspor
TRA
37%
23%
40%
78 85 7 0
26 Aug. 2023
KAS
Kasımpaşa
1 - 1
Pendikspor
PEN
69%
18%
12%
78 71 7 0

Matches

Fenerbahçe
Fenerbahçe
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Oct. 2023
TNV
Spartak Trnava
1 - 2
Fenerbahçe
FEN
19%
24%
57%
87 78 9 0
01 Oct. 2023
FEN
Fenerbahçe
5 - 0
Rizespor
RIZ
74%
16%
10%
87 78 9 0
28 Sep. 2023
FEN
Fenerbahçe
4 - 0
İstanbul Başakşehir
IST
64%
20%
16%
87 85 2 0
24 Sep. 2023
ALA
Alanyaspor
0 - 1
Fenerbahçe
FEN
36%
25%
40%
87 80 7 0
21 Sep. 2023
FEN
Fenerbahçe
3 - 1
Nordsjaelland
FCN
67%
18%
16%
86 81 5 +1