Karnobat vs Nesebar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
31.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karnobat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
ROZ
2 - 1
KAR
76%
15%
9%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
KAR
1 - 0
SPA
53%
23%
25%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
ZAG
4 - 1
KAR
82%
12%
6%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
KAR
2 - 2
DIM
38%
25%
37%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
ROD
7 - 1
KAR
73%
15%
12%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
NES
1 - 3
IGO
27%
22%
51%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
GIG
1 - 1
NES
55%
22%
22%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
NES
1 - 2
AKU
45%
24%
32%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
HAS
5 - 0
NES
34%
22%
45%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -2 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
NES
0 - 1
SVA
18%
22%
60%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | 0 |