Karnobat vs Nesebar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
69.3%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.8%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-92%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karnobat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
RAK
2 - 0
KAR
60%
19%
21%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
KAR
2 - 2
EVR
51%
22%
28%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
DIM
4 - 2
KAR
72%
16%
12%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
KAR
7 - 1
CHB
48%
22%
30%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
GIG
3 - 1
KAR
71%
16%
13%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
NES
6 - 1
SVI
72%
17%
11%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
SPA
0 - 1
NES
14%
21%
66%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
BOR
0 - 1
NES
12%
17%
71%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
NES
3 - 0
LEV
86%
10%
4%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
NES
5 - 0
RAK
81%
13%
6%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |