Karmiotissa vs AEL Limassol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
34.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
11º
13º
11º
30
4º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karmiotissa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
APO
4 - 1
KAR
72%
19%
9%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
KAR
1 - 3
AEK
18%
26%
57%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
KAR
0 - 1
NEA
28%
26%
47%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
OTH
0 - 3
KAR
54%
23%
23%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
KAR
1 - 1
ETH
34%
25%
42%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
AEL Limassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
AEL
3 - 1
NEA
34%
28%
39%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
OTH
0 - 3
AEL
45%
27%
29%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
AEL
1 - 1
ETH
37%
26%
37%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ANO
1 - 0
AEL
69%
21%
11%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
AEL
1 - 3
APO
19%
25%
57%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |