2. Bundesliga - Play Offs Promotion . Final
Global 3-3
Karlsruher SC vs Jahn Regensburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karlsruher SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2012 |
SSV
1 - 1
KSC
42%
25%
33%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
KSC
1 - 0
EIN
17%
23%
60%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
AAA
1 - 0
KSC
54%
23%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
KSC
2 - 0
PAD
29%
26%
45%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
ING
2 - 1
KSC
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Jahn Regensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2012 |
SSV
1 - 1
KSC
42%
25%
33%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
SSV
1 - 1
CZJ
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
ROT
1 - 2
SSV
35%
28%
37%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
SSV
1 - 0
CHE
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
UNT
2 - 3
SSV
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |